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May 14, 2007
Turning up the heat

Could global warming reverse the steady population drain in northern Maine?

NASA’s new study doesn’t quite make that leap, but it does show Maine becoming a relative haven from extreme heat that may be on its way for the eastern United States.

The study was released last week and says summers in the east, Maine included, may get hotter faster than previously believed. The study generally says the region can expect daily highs about 10 degrees Farenheit warmer by the mid-2080s. The changed forecast has to do with improving the global climate computer models so they account better for dryer conditions, it says.

A map published with the study shows Maine’s summertime highs are generally projected to go from 79 degrees in 1993 to 86 degrees in 2085. That’s roughly the same as summer in New Jersey now.

That’s quite a difference. But, the farther south you go, the more dramatic the change could be.

The average summer highs will probably be around 102 degrees in Jacksonville, 100 degrees in Memphis, 96 degrees in Atlanta, NASA says. Remember, that would be the average highs, not heat waves. In dry summers, daily high temperatures could average between 100 and 110 degrees in cities such as Chicago and Washington and approach 100 in much of the northeast.

Maine, according to the map, could become one of the few places in the eastern half of the U.S. where the average summer temperature in 2085 is not expected to exceed 90 degrees. That could make Washington County a really popular place in August. Might want to get the guest room ready.

Here are the details about the study and, in case you missed it, an Associated Press story about the hot long-term forecast.

Posted by at 12:14 PM

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Comments

We moved up to Maine 30 years ago based on the same predictions; and the winters are milder; and summers longer; but the downside is the cloud cover and the off-ocean breezes which make coastal living uncomfortable....90degrees in Lewiston and 54 w/fog in Harpswell.

Ecotourism may take a nasty hit this summer with the gas crisis.

This happened in the late seventies and the people hit hardest were people backpacking and hiking who parked in remote parking lots and returned to find their gas tanks drained.

With $4/gal prices predicted by July 4th and $5/gal by Labor day; stealing gas from 'rich' ecotourists could become a nice sideline for many rural mainers.

It happened in the late Seventies and given the impact on rural maine of gas price increases; it will happen again...the natural target will be out-of-staters with their big SUV's.

Posted by Frank J. Heller
May 15, 2007 11:38 AM


Yeah, but how come they can't tell me what the temperature will be this weekend?

Posted by Dick
May 16, 2007 01:38 AM

Frank wrote: "With $4/gal prices predicted by July 4th and $5/gal by Labor day; stealing gas from 'rich' ecotourists could become a nice sideline for many rural mainers." IT NEVER HAPPENED!!!!!

Making decisions on unsound predictions is no better than sticking your finger in the wind...

Posted by Jeff
July 12, 2007 08:42 AM

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Posted by gwnjagom
November 2, 2007 09:09 AM

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John covers environmental issues for the Portland Press Herald/Maine Sunday Telegram. A reporter for 20 years, he always hoped to find some use for his undergraduate degree in International Environmental Studies. He also has a master's degree in journalism, though back then they taught writing on a thing called a typewriter. He's married and has two children.

About this blog

Down To Earth is a place to keep tabs on the environment beat at the Portland Press Herald/Maine Sunday Telegram. Staff Writer John Richardson will post updates on past news stories, share tidbits and behind-the-story stories, answer questions and get feedback and ideas from you.



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